#1 Aldo -700 vs. IE* Sung Jung +500
I am picking Aldo because I only see one path to victory for 'the Korean Zombie' and that's to make it to the championship rounds and hope that Aldo is tired out and to hunt for the late TKO/KO or submission win and that's a big if. At the very worst I see Aldo winning by decision destroying Jung with leg kicks in the process. Best case scenario Aldo wins by TKO or knockout.
My bet: 111.66$ to win 15.69$ on Jose Aldo
#2 Machida -355 vs. #8 Davis +280
I am picking Machida because of his unique karate base striking, quick footwork and good takedown defense. Davis's only path to victory is take Machida down and attempt ground and pound or look for a submission which he has the skill set to do but I see Machida stuffing his takedown attempts and making this a striking match winning by decision.
My bet: 77.26$ to win 19.48$ on Machida & 44$ to win 22$ on the fight to go over 2 1/2 rounds
NR* Ferreira -450 vs. NR* Santos +340
I am picking Ferreira for the purpose of giving you my prediction. I won't be placing any bets on this fight because I am not entirely familiar with his opponent Santos who is a newcomer to the promotion. Both guys are fairly green with less than 10 fights each. Judging by Santos's record at 8-1 he is a striker with most of his wins coming by TKO. Ferreira being a BJJ black belt and capoeira master he should be safe standing and on the ground cruising to a decision at worst.
My bet: pass
NR* Leites -130 vs. NR* Watson +100
I have gone back and forth with this fight and do not know who to pick and apparently neither do the odds makers with close to even odds on Leites and dead even on Watson. On the feet I favor Watson with most of his stoppage wins coming by TKO or knockout. Leites is not a bad striker himself but he favors the ground game being a black belt in BJJ and often winning by submission. Who ever can impose their gameplan should win this fight it's anybodies guess.
My bet: pass
#6 Lineker -445 vs. NR* Maria Tome +345
I am picking Lineker because of his knockout power which is very rare in the flyweight division. Maria Tome's record looks impressive but its very deceiving. Although Tome is on a tremendous winning streak, he hasn't been tested with most of his opponents having more losses than wins on their record. I give Tome a grapplers chance being he is a submission guy but asking him to face and defeat a top 10 flyweight is a tall task I won't bank on.
My bet: 81.06$ to win 18.51$ on Lineker & 17.40$ to win 12$ on the fight to go under 2 1/2 rounds
My under card bets only:
75.66$ to win 18.92$ on McCall
69.66$ to win 18.59$ on Magalhaes
27.66$ to win 2.91$ on Yahya
27.66$ to win 2.91$ on Yahya
I am passing on:
Nunes vs. Gaff, Moraes vs. Magny, Andrade vs. Marunde & Oliveira vs. Barroso
Previous Results: My UFC on Fox 8 betting results
Lost 24.50$ on Albert
Won 10$ on Cruickshank
Won 10$ on Cruickshank vs. Edwards to go over 2 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on Castillo
Won 10$ on Castillo vs. Means to go over 2 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on Masvidal
Won 10$ on Masvidal vs. Chiesa to go over 1 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on Lawler
Lost 17.50$ on Lawler vs. Voelker to go over 1 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on MacDonald
Won 10$ on Johnson
Won 10$ on Johnson vs. Moraga to go over 4 1/2 rounds
Profited 58$
NR - Not ranked in the top 10
IE - in eligible to be ranked
