Bellator 120 & UFC 174 Bets

2 unit parlay on Robbie Lawler & Rampage Jackson  -118

0.5 units on Rampage Jackson inside the distance +210

1 unit parlay on Michael Chandler, Al Iaquinta, Chris Holdsworth, Robbie Lawler, Daniel Cormier, Renan Barao +220

1 unit on Takeya Mizugaki -180

1 unit on Jamie Varner -175

1 unit parlay on Cheick Kongo, Michael Paige & Michael Chandler -150

1 unit on Michael Chandler vs. Will Brooks under 2 1/2 rounds -125

1 unit on Francisco Trinaldo -105

4 units on Tony Ferguson -265

5 units on Chris Holdsworth -380

4 units on Al Iaquinta -350

1.5 units on Anthony Njokuani -245

UFC/MMA Bets #1

These are my inaugural UFC/MMA Bets.

I've been betting since 2009 and I've profited a little over 13,000$ since then starting with only 200$.

Now I'll be giving out my plays before the event.

Most of my bets are mainly on UFC events but every once in a while I'll make plays on WSOF, One FC, and Bellator. For instance these next two weeks will consist of Bellator 120 and UFC 173 plays.

Bellator 119 & UFC 173

2 unit parlay on: Quinton Jackson (-270) & Robbie Lawler (-280) at -116

0.5 units on: Quinton Jackson inside the distance at +210

(Note: I'll add more plays once the lines come out for the entire card)

UFC 171: Hendricks vs. Lawler Predictions & Betting Lines

Last Event: UFC Fight Night 37: Gustafsson vs. Manuwa

• Martin went 7-2 and profited +650$
• Bryam went 7-2 and profited +515$    

Overall Record and payout:

• Martin is 62-23 and profited +1,950$
• Bryam is 59-26 and profited +1,140$

Note: These odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights 

Additional Note: If we pick an underdog we bet 100 units if we bet a favorite way lay the juice to win 100 units

WW: Johny Hendricks -400 vs. Robbie Lawler +325

• Martin - Hendricks 
• Bryam - Hendricks

WW: Carlos Condit -165 vs. Tyron Woodley +145

• Martin - Condit 
• Bryam - Condit

LW: Myles Jury -175 vs. Diego Sanchez +155

• Martin - Sanchez
• Bryam - Jury

WW: Hector Lombard -210 vs. Jake Shields +175

• Martin - Lombard 
• Bryam - Lombard

HW: Ovince St. Preux -370 vs. Nikita Krylov +310

• Martin - St. Preux
• Bryam - St. Preux

WW: Kelvin Gastelum -170 vs. Rick Story +150

• Martin - Gastelum
• Bryam - Gastelum 

WBW: Jessica Andrade -265 vs. Raquel Pennington +225

• Martin - Andrade
• Bryam - Andrade

FW: Dennis Bermudez -250 vs. Jimy Hettes +210

• Martin - Bermudez
• Bryam - Bermudez

WW: Alex Garcia -400 vs. Sean Spencer +325

• Martin - Garcia
• Bryam - Garcia

LW: Rene Forte -135 vs. Frank Trevino +115

• Martin - Trevino 
• Bryam - Forte

FLY: Justin Scoggins -460 vs. Will Campuzano +365

• Martin - Scoggins
• Bryam - Scoggins

MW: Sean Strickland -135 vs. Robert McDaniel +115   

• Martin - Strickland
• Bryam - Strickland

FW: Daniel Pineda -230 vs. Robert Whiteford +190

• Martin - Pineda
• Bryam - Pineda

UFC Fight Night 37: Gustafsson vs. Manuwa Predictions & Betting Lines

Last Event: UFC TUF China Finale

• Martin went 4-4 and profited -275$
• Bryam went 4-4 and profited -475$

Overall Record and payout:

• Martin is 54-22 and profited +1,300$
• Bryam is 51-25 and profited +625$

Note: These odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights 

Additional Note: If we pick an underdog we bet 100 units if we bet a favorite way lay the juice to win 100 units

FLY: Louis Gaudinot -165 vs. Phil Harris +145

• Martin - Gaudinot
• Bryam - Gaudinot 

WW: Igor Araujo -170 vs. Danny Mitchell +150

• Martin - Araujo
• Bryam - Araujo

BW: Davey Grant -115 vs. Roland Delorme -105

• Martin - Delorme 
• Bryam - Grant

FW: Brad Scott -185 vs. Claudio Henrique Da Silva +160

• Martin - Da Silva
• Bryam - Scott

LW: Luke Barnatt -300 vs. Mats Nilsson +250

• Martin - Barnatt
• Bryam - Barnatt

LH: Cyrille Diabate -110 vs. Ilir Latifi -110

• Martin - Diabate
• Bryam - Latifi

WW: Gunnar Nelson -315 vs. Omari Akhmedov +285

• Martin - Nelson
• Bryam - Nelson

FLY: Brad Pickett -750 vs. Neil Seery +600

• Martin - Pickett
• Bryam - Pickett

 

LW: Michael Johnson -135 vs. Melvin Guillard +125

• Martin - Johnson
• Bryam - Johnson

 

LH: Alexander Gustafsson -450 vs. Jimi Manuwa +400

• Martin - Gustafsson
• Bryam - Gustafsson

UFC Fight Night: TUF China Finale Predictions & Betting Lines

Last Event: UFC 170 

• Martin went 10-1 and profited +700$
• Bryam went 9-2 and profited +500$

Overall Record and payout:

• Martin is 50-18 and profited +1,575$
• Bryam is 47-21 and profited +1,100$

Note: These odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights 

Additional Note: If we pick an underdog we bet 100 units if we bet a favorite way lay the juice to win 100 units

WW: Dong Hyun Kim -345 vs. John Hathaway +315

• Martin - Kim
• Bryam - Kim  

WW: Sai Wang -265 vs. Lipeng Zhang +245

• Martin - Wang   
• Bryam - Wang

HW: Shawn Jordan -110 vs. Matt Mitrione +100

• Martin - Mitrione
• Bryam - Jordan

FW: Hatsu Hioki -420 vs. Ivan Menjivar +375

• Martin - Hioki
• Bryam - Hioki

LW: Yui Chul Nam -175 vs. Kazuki Tokudome +165   

• Martin - Nam
• Bryam - Nam

BW: Nam Phan -130 vs. Vaughan Lee +120

• Martin - Phan
• Bryam - Phan 

WW: Anying Wang -115 vs. Albert Cheng +105

• Martin - Cheng
• Bryam - Wang

FW: Jumabieke Tuerxin -370 vs. Mark Eddiva +330 

• Martin - Tuerxin
• Bryam - Tuerxin

UFC 170: Rousey vs. McMann Predictions & Betting Lines

Last Event: UFC Fight Night 36: Machida vs. Mousasi 

• Martin went 8-4 and profited +255$
• Bryam went 7-5 and profited +215$

Overall Record and payout:

• Martin is 40-17 and profited +875$
• Bryam is 38-19 and profited +600$

Note: These odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights 

WBW: Ronda Rousey -460 vs. Sara McMann +365

• Martin - Rousey 
• Bryam - Rousey 

LH: Daniel Cormier -1300 vs. Patrick Cummins +850

• Martin - Cormier 
• Bryam - Cormier 

WW: Rory MacDonald -280 vs. Demian Maia +240 

• Martin - MacDonald 
• Bryam - MacDonald

WW: Mike Pyle -185 vs. TJ Waldburger +160 

• Martin - Pyle 
• Bryam - Pyle 

WW: Stephen Thompson -135 vs. Robert Whittaker +115 

• Martin - Thompson 
• Bryam - Whittaker 

WBW: Alexis Davis -150 vs. Jessica Eye +130

• Martin - Davis 
• Bryam - Davis 

BW: Raphael Assuncao -220 vs. Pedro Munhoz +180   

• Martin - Assuncao 
• Bryam - Assuncao 

BW: Aljamain Sterling -240 vs. Cody Gibson +200

• Martin - Sterling 
• Bryam - Sterling 

FLY: Zach Makovsky -165 vs. Joshua Sampo +145

• Martin - Makovsky 
• Bryam - Makovsky 

LW: Erik Koch -400 vs. Rafaello Oliveira +325 

• Martin - Koch
• Bryam - Koch 

LW: Yosdenis Cedeno -300 vs. Ernest Chavez +250  

• Martin - Cedeno 
• Bryam - Cedeno 

UFC Fight Night 36: Machida vs. Mousasi Predictions & Betting Lines

Last Event: UFC 169: Barao vs. Faber 2 

• Martin went 8-4 and profited +155$
• Bryam went 8-4 and profited +155$

Overall Record and payout:

• Martin is 32-13 and profited +620$
• Bryam is 31-14 and profited +385$

Note: these odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights

MW: Lyoto Machida -225 vs. Gegard Mousasi +200

• Martin - Machida  
• Bryam - Machida 

MW:  Ronaldo Souza -500 vs. Francis Carmont +435

• Martin - Souza 
• Bryam - Souza 

WW: Erick Silva -1100 vs. Takenori Sato +700

• Martin - Silva 
• Bryam - Silva

WW: Viscardi Andrade -125 vs. Nico Musoke +115

• Martin - Andrade 
• Bryam - Andrade 

FW: Charles Oliveira -615 vs. Andy Ogle +510

• Martin - Oliveira 
• Bryam - Oliveira 

LW: Joe Proctor -210 vs. Cristiano Marcello +190

• Martin - Proctor 
• Bryam - Marcello 

LW: Ivan Jorge -120 vs. Rodrigo Damm +110

• Martin - Jorge 
• Bryam - Jorge 

LW: Francisco Trinaldo -175 vs. Jesse Ronson +165

• Martin - Trinaldo 
• Bryam - Trinaldo

BW: Yuri Alcantara -265 vs. Wilson Reis +245

• Martin - Alcantara
• Bryam - Alcantara 

FW: Maximo Blanco -110 vs. Felipe Arantes +100

• Martin - Blanco 
• Bryam - Blanco

WW: Albert Tumenov -190 vs. Ildemar Alcantara +175

• Martin - Tumenov 
• Bryam - Alcantara

FW: Zubair Tukhugov -105 vs. Douglas Andrade -105

• Martin - Tukhugov 
• Bryam - Andrade 

UFC 169: Barao vs. Faber 2 Predictions & Betting Lines

Last Event: UFC on Fox 10: Henderson vs. Thomson 

• Martin went 8-3 and profited -70$
• Bryam went 7-4 and profited -270$

Overall Record and payout:

• Martin is 24-9 and profited +465$
• Bryam is 23-10 and profited +230$

Note: these odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights

BW: Renan Barao -260 vs. Urijah Faber +240

• Martin - Barao 
• Bryam - Barao

FW: Jose Aldo -660 vs. Ricardo Lamas +540

• Martin - Aldo 
• Bryam - Aldo

HW: Alistair Overeem -340 vs. Frank Mir +300

• Martin - Overeem 
• Bryam - Overeem

FLY: Ali Bagautinov -135 vs. John Lineker +125

• Martin - Bagautinov 
• Bryam - Bagautinov 

LW: Jamie Varner -135 vs. Abel Trujillo +125

• Martin - Varner 
• Bryam - Varner 

LW: John Makdessi -155 vs. Alan Patrick +135

• Martin - Makdessi 
• Bryam - Makdessi 

FLY: Chris Cariaso -145 vs. Danny Martinez +135

• Martin - Cariaso 
• Bryam - Cariaso 

MW: Tom Watson -170 vs. Nick Catone +160

• Martin - Watson 
• Bryam - Watson 

LW: Al Iaquinta -235 vs. Kevin Lee +215

• Martin - Iaquinta 
• Bryam - Iaquinta 

MW: Clint Hester -185 vs. Andy Enz +160

• Martin - Hester 
• Bryam - Hester 

LW: Rashid Magomedov -260 vs. Tony Martin +220

• Martin - Magomedov
• Bryam - Magomedov 

WW: Gasan Umalatov -185 vs. Neil Magny +160

• Martin - Umalatov 
• Bryam - Umalatov

UFC on Fox 10: Henderson vs. Thomson Predictions & Betting Lines

Last Event: UFC Fight Night 35: Rockhold vs. Philippou

• Martin went 8-4 and profited +30$
• Bryam went 9-3 and profited +235$

Overall record and payout:

• Martin 16-6 and profited +535$ 
• Bryam 16-6 and profited +500$

Note: these odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights

LW: Ben Henderson -280 vs. Josh Thomson +240

• Martin - Henderson 
• Bryam - Henderson 

HW: Stipe Miocic -240 vs. Gabriel Gonzaga +200 

• Martin - Miocic 
• Bryam - Miocic

LW: Donald Cerrone -185 vs. Adriano Martins +155

• Martin - Cerrone
• Bryam - Cerrone

FW: Jeremy Stephens -140 vs. Darren Elkins +110

• Martin - Stephens
• Bryam - Stephens 

BW: Sergio Pettis -215 vs. Alex Caceres +170 

• Martin - Pettis  
• Bryam - Pettis 

BW: Eddie Wineland -355 vs. Yves Jabouin +265

• Martin - Wineland
• Bryam - Wineland 

BW: Chico Camus -195 vs. Yoatzin Meza +160

• Martin - Camus
• Bryam - Meza

BW: Hugo Viana -350 vs. Junior Hernandez +260 

• Martin - Viana 
• Bryam - Viana 

LW: Daron Cruickshank -250 vs. Mike Rio +190

• Martin - Cruickshank
• Bryam - Cruickshank

WW: Mike Rhodes -255 vs. George Sullivan +195

• Martin - Rhodes
• Bryam - Rhodes 

HW: Walt Harris -400 vs. Nikita Krylov +310

• Martin - Harris 
• Bryam - Harris 

UFC Fight Night 35: Rockhold vs. Philippou Predictions & Betting Lines

Last event: UFC Fight Night 34: Saffiedine vs. Lim

• Martin went 8-2 and profited +505$
• Bryam went 7-3 and profited +265$

Overall record and payout:

• Martin 8-2 and banked +505$
• Bryam 7-3 and banked +265$

Note: these odds were taken at the time of our predictions the lines may change a bit between now and the night of the fights

MW: Luke Rockhold -390 vs. Costa Philippou +320

Martin - Rockhold

Bryam - Rockhold

MW: Lorenz Larkin -220 vs. Brad Tavares +180

Martin - Larkin 

Bryam - Larkin

BW: TJ Dillashaw -280 vs. Mike Easton +240

Martin - Dillashaw

Bryam - Dillashaw 

MW: Yoel Romero -300 vs. Derek Brunson +250

Martin - Romero 

Bryam - Romero 

FLY: John Moraga -290 vs. Dustin Ortiz +245

Martin - Moraga

Bryam - Moraga

FW: Cole Miller -175 vs. Sam Sicilia +155

Martin - Miller

Bryam - Miller

LW: Ramsey Nijem -150 vs. Justin Edwards +130

Martin - Nijem

Bryam - Nijem

LW: Elias Silverio -115 vs. Isaac Vallie Flagg -105

Martin - Vallie Flagg 

Bryam - Silverio   

MW: Trevor Smith -150 vs. Brian Houston +130

Martin - Smith

Bryam - Smith 

FLY: Alptekin Ozkilic -270 vs. Louis Smolka +230

Martin - Ozkilic 

Bryam - Ozkilic  

LW: Vinc Pichel -155 vs. Garrett Whiteley +135

Martin - Pichel

Bryam - Pichel

LW: Charlie Brenneman -175 vs. Beneil Dariush +155

Martin - Brenneman

Bryam - Brenneman

UFC Fight Night 34: Saffiedine vs. Kim Predictions & Betting Lines

WW: Tarec Saffiedine -215 vs. Hyun Gyu Lim +175

Martin - Saffiedine

Bryam - Saffiedine

FW: Tatsuya Kawajiri -165 vs. Sean Soriano +135 

Martin - Kawajiri

Bryam - Soriano 

WW: Luiz Dutra -150 vs. Kiichi Kunimoto +120 

Martin - Kunimoto

Bryam - Dutra 

BW: Kyung Ho Kang -280 vs. Shunichi Shimizu +220

Martin - Ho Kang

Bryam - Ho Kang 

FW: Max Holloway -210 vs. Will Chope +170

Martin - Holloway

Bryam - Holloway

LW: Katsunori Kikuno -185 vs. Quinn Mulhern +155

Martin - Kikuno

Bryam - Kikuno 

BW: Dave Galera -185 vs. Royston Wee +155

Martin - Galera

Bryam - Galera 

LW: Mairbek Taisumov -290 vs. Tae Hyun Bang +230

Martin - Taisumov

Bryam - Taisumov

BW: Dustin Kimura -270 vs. Jon Delos Reyes +210

Martin - Kimura

Bryam - Kimura

BW: Leandro Issa -130 vs. Russell Doane +100

Martin - Issa

Bryam - Doane

UFC Fight Night 29: Maia vs. Shields Main Card Predictions

#9 Demian Maia -275 vs. #8 Jake Shields +225

Maia hasn't given me any reason not pick against him at welterweight so I'll go with Maia. Shields does present dangers but nothing that will skew me into picking him over Maia. The wrestling game of Shields shouldn't be a problem as Maia out grappled Fitch who's a better wrestler than Shields. Shields' cardio is a little suspect too and in a 5 round fight I would favor Maia the longer the fight goes.

Take Maia

#15 Erick Silva -265 vs. Dong Hyun Kim +215

Kim is a very strong welterweight and by far the best judoka in the welterweight division but I'd go with Silva. Silva has very good muay thai and very good submissions. He can fight at a pace that can pester the Stun Gun but he has to be on his heels because the Judo game of Kim can be hard to shutdown. 

Take Silva

#13 Thiago Silva -365 vs. Matt Hamill +290

Striker vs. Wrestler match; this time around go with the striker. Even though I'm picking Silva it's important to note that he was taken down repeatedly by the one and only wrestler he's ever fought, Rashad Evans. Hamill however is more content to trade and then go for takedowns which is why Silva is the smart bet. While they're exchanging Silva will connect more often than Hamill. 

Take Silva

Fabio Maldonado -155 vs. Joey Beltran +125

This fight is a toss up. If it's a polished stand up fight then I'd take Maldonado if its a brawl I'd go with Beltran. Maldonado tends to get caught up in these brawls that he ends up losing and Beltran's got himself a chin so I'd lean towards Beltran despite the odds. 

Take Beltran especially at underdog money

Mike Pierce -285 vs. Rousimar Palhares +230

Judging by how they've both been performing as of late I'd go with Pierce. This is Palhares' first fight at welterweight so its still a wild card on how he's going to perform there. Pierce however is going to be hard to takedown and he does have the power to end Palhares' night. To top things off Palhares does have a suspect chin being stopped in his last two fights.

Take Pierce

TJ Dillashaw -240 vs. #15 Raphael Assuncao +195

I am picking Dillashaw but there is value in picking Assuncao as well. Obviously team alpha male have all improved their stand up game and already generally have a good wrestling game but this is a step up in competition. Assuncao is a very good counter striker, has the superior ground game and is unbeaten at bantamweight. So there's something to think about

Take Dillashaw but tread cautiously

UFC Fight Night 27: Condit vs. Kampmann 2 Predictions and Betting Lines

I'm yet to decide on my bets so I'll only give you my predictions this time. 

My Main Card Predictions:

#3 Condit -260 vs. #5 Kampmann +210

This fight is closer than what the odds make it out to be. Both guys are primarily Thai boxers with good jiu jitsu. I would give a slight edge to Condit on the feet and a slight edge to Kampmann on the ground. This is a 5 rounder and atleast we already know that Condit can go 25 minutes, Kampmann, we'll find out. Another thing to note is that Condit has a good chin and Kampmann has been knocked out in the past which is probably why Condit is a 2 to 1 favorite right now. But the X-factor in this fight is the wrestling. Condit's glaring hole in his game is his wrestling and for not being a wrestler Kampmann's a pretty good wrestler. I'd favor Condit but Kampmann can make the scorecards look interesting with his takedowns.

My Pick: I would take Kampmann at +210 or pass

NR* Cerrone -160 vs. NR* Dos Anjos +130

I like Cerrone in this fight. Dos Anjos is a good mid tier lightweight which is pretty good considering lightweight is stacked from top to bottom but I don't think he's on Cerrone's level yet. Cerrone's beaten guys that Dos Anjos has lost to and Cerrone's only lost to exceptional 155er's. I thought Dos Anjos should have lost his last fight against Dunham and Cerrone is a better version of Dunham so at pick'em odds I'd take Cerrone.

My Pick: I will bet on Cerrone

NR* Gastelum -225 vs. NR* Melancon +180

This fight is similar to the main event in a sense that its closer than what the odds tell you. Under normal circumstances I'd tell you to pick Melancon at underdog money. However, Melancon took this fight on short notice replacing Paulo Thiago and his battling a short notice weight cut following his eating benge he recently had after his last fight. So what started out as an close fight has now turned in the favor of Gastelum. Although we don't know how Gastelum is going perform at 170 I'd pick him but tread cautiously if you do.

My Pick: I'll probably pass or place a small wager on Gastelum

NR* Whitaker -140 vs. NR* McGee +110

This fight is very close. Whitaker has very good and organic combos and its worked well for him in the past against lesser competition. However, McGee is a step up in competition to his escapades in TUF so you can't sleep on McGee.

My Pick: I'm passing

NR* Perez -140 vs. NR* Mizugaki +110

I sound like a broken record but this is another close fight. This fight is similar to the Whitaker/McGee fight. Perez has looked good in the UFC so far and is on a winning streak that extends beyond his UFC career so he's doing something right. Mizugaki is a step up in competition though. Mizugaki has only lost to top tier competition and even though Perez is on a roll I don't know if we can put him in the same category as Bowles, Faber and Torres yet which explains the pick'em odds.

My Pick: I'm picking Perez at a low price

NR* Tavares -455 vs. NR* McDaniel +350

I like Tavares in this fight he is 4-1 in his last 5 and flying under the radar racking up wins. Tavares is durable and already battle tested which is why he's a 4 to 1 favorite. McDaniel was one of the better TUF alums outside of Gastelum and Hall and crazier things have happened but, Tavares is definitely better but I would still tread cautiously on the steep betting line.

My Pick: I'm passing

My quick Under Card Picks:

Andrews -285
Thatch -265
Hioki -130
Head -115
Trujillo -120
Cummings -120

My Previous Results: My UFC Fight Night 26 betting results

After Lauzon lost to Johnson I made a last minute bet on Faber and profited 57.75$. Sorry next time I'll show you how it all went down.

NR - not in ranked in the top 10

UFC Fight Night 26: 'Shogun' vs Sonnen Predictions and Betting Lines

My Main Card Predictions and Bets:

#7 'Shogun' +120 vs. NR* Sonnen -150

I'm picking Shogun because he's got the edge standing up and on the ground. Shogun is also a black belt in jiu jitsu with a tricky guard even better than Anderson Silva's guard with his ability to dive for leg locks. Even if he doesn't get the leg lock he uses it to get back up to his feet which is exactly where he wants to be. Although Sonnen can take 'Shogun' down repeatedly I just don't see him fending him off for 25 minutes. I see 'Shogun' winning inside the distance by TKO or knockout especially in a five rounder.

My bet: 33.33$ to win 40$ on Shogun

#5 Overeem -185 vs. NR* Browne +155 

I'm picking Overeem because despite getting knocked out in his last fight he is still the superior striker. Browne prefers to stand as well but he's been knocked out before too so his chin has been tested and Overeem will look to test it again. Although Overeem has a suspect chin and Browne could tag it and put him out, I see Overeem's experience being the difference in their fight. I've got Overeem winning eventually by TKO or knockout.

My bet: 74$ to win 40$ on Overeem & check my parlays

#2 Faber -290 vs. NR* Alcantara +230 

I'm picking Faber because of his experience and because he is the wrestler so he can dictate where he wants the fight to go. Alcantara likes to go for broke with both his striking and his submissions but I feel Faber will have and answer for anything Alcantara gives him. Since Alcantara is always in the fight I'm picking Faber by decision.

My bet: 116$ to win 40$ on Faber & check my parlays

NR* Pyle +130 vs. NR* Brown -160 

As you can see by the line this fight is very close. I myself don't know who to pick. On one hand I'd pick Brown by TKO because of his pressure on the other hand I'd pick Pyle because of his submissions and Brown's poor track record with submission defense. It's hard to see either guy lose right now because of their winning streaks. Both guys have a path to victory. The one who wants it more will most likely win.

My bet: pass

NR* Hall -435 vs. NR* Howard +335 

I'm picking Hall because he's more unpredictable with his striking and I feel he's going to come back stronger after a loss. At the very worst I feel he wins all three rounds by decision or ends it with strikes eventually. I will be passing because the line is too high and Howard is no pushover in the striking department himself. With these small gloves and the way Howard fights and the steep line, I would tread cautiously on Hall.

My bet: pass

NR* Lauzon -245 vs. NR* Johnson +195 

I'm picking Lauzon because I feel he's not going to let Johnson breath, he's going to constantly be looking for a submission and it will overwhelm Johnson. Even if Lauzon doesn't get the submission I feel he will win the decision atleast because of the constant pressure he's going to put on him.

My bet: check my parlays

My under card bets only:

40.30$ to win 30$ on Gamburyan

40.25$ to win 18.30$ on (Mike) Brown

99$ to win 30$ on Brandao

40$ to win 20$ on McDonald

96$ to win 40$ on McGregor

My Parlays:

18$ to win 50.44$ on Faber, Overeem, McGregor & Lauzon

48$ to win 45.10$ on McGregor & Lauzon

Previous Results: My UFC 163 betting results 

Won 2.91$ on Yahya 

Won 18.92$ on McCall 

Lost 69.66$ on Magalhaes 

Won 18.51$ on Lineker 

Won 12$ on Lineker vs. Tome to go under 2 1/2 rounds 

Lost 70.26$ on Machida 

Won 22$ on Machida vs. Davis to go over 2 1/2 rounds 

Won 15.69$ on Aldo 

Overall I lost 49.89$

P.S. - I would have profited 20.37$ if Machida didn't get robbed. 

NR - Not ranked in the top 10 

UFC 163 Aldo vs. 'Korean Zombie' Predictions and Betting Lines

My Main Card Predictions and Bets:

#1 Aldo -700 vs. IE* Sung Jung +500

I am picking Aldo because I only see one path to victory for 'the Korean Zombie' and that's to make it to the championship rounds and hope that Aldo is tired out and to hunt for the late TKO/KO or submission win and that's a big if. At the very worst I see Aldo winning by decision destroying Jung with leg kicks in the process. Best case scenario Aldo wins by TKO or knockout. 

My bet: 111.66$ to win 15.69$ on Jose Aldo 

#2 Machida -355 vs. #8 Davis +280 

I am picking Machida because of his unique karate base striking, quick footwork and good takedown defense. Davis's only path to victory is take Machida down and attempt ground and pound or look for a submission which he has the skill set to do but I see Machida stuffing his takedown attempts and making this a striking match winning by decision. 

My bet: 77.26$ to win 19.48$ on Machida & 44$ to win 22$ on the fight to go over 2 1/2 rounds

NR* Ferreira -450 vs. NR* Santos +340

I am picking Ferreira for the purpose of giving you my prediction. I won't be placing any bets on this fight because I am not entirely familiar with his opponent Santos who is a newcomer to the promotion. Both guys are fairly green with less than 10 fights each. Judging by Santos's record at 8-1 he is a striker with most of his wins coming by TKO. Ferreira being a BJJ black belt and capoeira master he should be safe standing and on the ground cruising to a decision at worst. 

My bet: pass 

  

NR* Leites -130 vs. NR* Watson +100

I have gone back and forth with this fight and do not know who to pick and apparently neither do the odds makers with close to even odds on Leites and dead even on Watson. On the feet I favor Watson with most of his stoppage wins coming by TKO or knockout. Leites is not a bad striker himself but he favors the ground game being a black belt in BJJ and often winning by submission. Who ever can impose their gameplan should win this fight it's anybodies guess. 

My bet: pass 

#6 Lineker -445 vs. NR* Maria Tome +345 

I am picking Lineker because of his knockout power which is very rare in the flyweight division. Maria Tome's record looks impressive but its very deceiving. Although Tome is on a tremendous winning streak, he hasn't been tested with most of his opponents having more losses than wins on their record. I give Tome a grapplers chance being he is a submission guy but asking him to face and defeat a top 10 flyweight is a tall task I won't bank on. 

My bet: 81.06$ to win 18.51$ on Lineker & 17.40$ to win 12$ on the fight to go under 2 1/2 rounds

My under card bets only:

75.66$ to win 18.92$ on McCall 

69.66$ to win 18.59$ on Magalhaes

27.66$ to win 2.91$ on Yahya 

I am passing on:

Nunes vs. Gaff, Moraes vs. Magny, Andrade vs. Marunde & Oliveira vs. Barroso 

Previous Results: My UFC on Fox 8 betting results  

Lost 24.50$ on Albert 

Won 10$ on Cruickshank

Won 10$ on Cruickshank vs. Edwards to go over 2 1/2 rounds 

Won 10$ on Castillo 

Won 10$ on Castillo vs. Means to go over 2 1/2 rounds 

Won 10$ on Masvidal 

Won 10$ on Masvidal vs. Chiesa to go over 1 1/2 rounds 

Won 10$ on Lawler 

Lost 17.50$ on Lawler vs. Voelker to go over 1 1/2 rounds 

Won 10$ on MacDonald 

Won 10$ on Johnson 

Won 10$ on Johnson vs. Moraga to go over 4 1/2 rounds 

Profited 58$ 

NR - Not ranked in the top 10 

IE - in eligible to be ranked 

UFC on Fox 8 Johnson vs. Moraga Predictions and Betting lines

My Main Card Predictions & Bets:

#1 Johnson -470 vs. NR* Moraga +370

I'm picking Johnson because of his speed and ability to transition from position to position. Moraga is a credible opponent but he doesn't present anything Johnson hasn't seen. I think Johnson will cruise to a decision victory the way he normally does.

My bet: 47$ to win 10$ on Demetrious Johnson & 21.50$ to win 10$ on the fight going over 4 1/2 rounds

#6 Ellenberger +190 vs. #9 MacDonald -240

I'm picking MacDonald because everytime he fights you see a clear improvement to his game as if the MacDonald that fought BJ Penn wasn't scary enough. Ellenberger is dangerous too but generally only in the first round while MacDonald will be dangerous for all three rounds. I got MacDonald winning two out of the three rounds.

My bet: 24$ to win 10$ on MacDonald

#10 Lawler -290 vs. NR* Voelker +230

I'm picking Lawler because his opponent will be over matched and he took this fight on short notice being a full time student and a full time construction worker. Only God knows how he found time to train for Lawler. Lawler's had his opponent changed three times but they were all strikers so he didn't have to change much of his game plan and plus he did get his full training camp in so I got him winning by TKO in the later rounds.

My bet: 29$ to win 10$ on Lawler & 17.50$ to win 10$ on the fight going over 1 1/2 rounds

DR* Carmouche -600 vs. DR* Andrade +425

I'm picking Carmouche for the purpose of giving you my prediction but I'm not placing any bets because the line is too high. Carmouche is by far the better striker and I would say the better wrestler too but she is very submission prone and that's what Andrade's good at which is why you can't completely count her out. That being said Carmouche should defeat Andrade but if you're a betting person tread cautiously on Carmouche.

My bet: pass

My under card bets only:

28$ to win 10$ on Masvidal

21$ to win 10$ on Masvidal vs. Chiesa to go over 1 1/2 rounds

22.50$ to win 10$ on Castillo

20.50$ to win 10$ on Castillo vs. Means to go over 2 1/2 rounds

13.50$ to win 10$ on Cruickshank

18.50$ to win 10$ on Cruickshank vs. Edwards to go over 2 1/2 rounds

24.50$ to win 10$ on Albert

I am passing on:

Guillard vs. Danzig, Herman vs. Smith, Kedzie vs. de Randamie & Riley vs. Salas

NR - Not Ranked in the top 10 

DR - Don't Rank women currently