Cain Velasquez -235 vs. Junior Dos Santos +190
Velasquez's pace is too much for most HW's if not all HW's. If Dos Santos doesn't knockout Velasquez within the first 2 rounds he loses his spring and the damage is done. Meaning, Velasquez is going to continue that relentless pace while Dos Santos is a lot slower and faded by the 3rd round.
Pick: I would bet Velasquez at these odds.
Jon Jones -425 vs. Alexander Gustafsson +315
Jones has to make adjustments that will solidify a win and Gustafsson has to do what he did and then some. I believe Jones is going to win more decisively but at these odds there is value in picking Gustafsson.
Pick: I would pick Gustafsson at these odds
Chris Weidman +100 vs. Anderson Silva -125
Weidman's got Silva beat on the ground. Silva is dangerous standing up but the more he commits to his strikes the more susceptible he is to get taken down.
Pick: Take Weidman especially at underdog money
Georges St. Pierre -225 vs. Johny Hendricks +180
Hendricks only has one path to victory and that's his left cross connecting square on St. Pierre's chin. St. Pierre has a good jab that can keep Hendricks' left cross from connecting and St. Pierre can shoot for a takedown from distance. Hendricks has nothing off of his back as we saw last year against Koscheck.
Pick: Take St. Pierre especially at 2 to 1 odds
Anthony Pettis -270 vs. Josh Thomson +220
Thomson is a kickboxer at heart and Pettis is a kickboxer fused with Tae Kwon Do. They're both also good on the ground. It's anybodies fight on the ground and Thomson doesn't have the wrestling to hold Pettis down so expect Pettis to win the exchanges on the feet.
Pick: Take Pettis before the odds inflate any higher
Jose Aldo -715 vs. Ricardo Lamas +510
Assuming the UFC makes this match up Aldo should win this fight. But tread cautiously because Aldo isn't the sniper he once was at the WEC. Most of his fights are going to decision now and he tends to slow down in the title rounds. So if Lamas can make it to those last few rounds the fight could get interesting.
Pick: Take Aldo but tread cautiously on the steep line.
Dominick Cruz +215 vs. Renan Barao -265
Assuming Cruz is ready by early 2014 this fight is going to be a tall order for him. Cruz's style has flustered his previous opponents but there are too many red flags to pick him to win. Will the layoff affect his performance? Will he be 100% going into the fight? Does he need a tune up fight?
Pick: Take Barao before the line inflates any higher
Demetrious Johnson -135 vs. Joseph Benavidez +105
This fight is too close. Team alpha male are unbeaten since Ludwig joined their team. In their first fight Benavidez lost via split decision. Is the acquisition of Ludwig going to be enough for Benavidez to win this time around? This fight can literally go either way.
Pick: I would pass since line is close; too even so that you have a 50% chance of losing your money
Ronda Rousey -1065 vs. Miesha Tate +625
Rousey always tends to find a way to armbar all her opponents but don't bank on her just yet. Tate has offered the most resistance out of every single opponent Rousey has faced and she maybe could have done more if she wasn't fighting out of emotion. So that's something to think about.
Pick: Pass the line is too deep and the win isn't as definite as it looks.
NOTE: the red means the fight is currently not official.
