HEAVYWEIGHTS:
#1 CAIN VELASQUEZ - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JUNIOR DOS SANTOS
#3 DANIEL CORMIER
#4 'BIGFOOT' SILVA
#5 TRAVIS BROWNE
#6 ALISTAIR OVEREEM
#7 FABRICIO WERDUM
#8 FRANK MIR
#9 'MINOTAURO' NOGUEIRA
#10 JOSH BARNETT
OTHER CONTENDERS: ANDREI ARLOVSKI, MARK HUNT, STIPE MIOCIC, ROY NELSON, GABRIEL GONZAGA
SERGEI KHARITONOV is ineligible for inactivity.
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHTS:
#1 JON JONES - UFC CHAMPION
#2 LYOTO MACHIDA
#3 RASHAD EVANS
#4 DAN HENDERSON
#5 ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON
#6 CHAEL SONNEN
#7 'SHOGUN' RUA
#8 'MINOTORO' NOGUEIRA
#9 PHIL DAVIS
#10 GLOVER TEIXEIRA
OTHER CONTENDERS: RYAN BADER, 'RAMPAGE' JACKSON, THIAGO SILVA, WANDERLEI SILVA, RAFAEL 'FEIJAO'
MIDDLEWEIGHTS:
#1 CHRIS WEIDMAN - UFC CHAMPION
#2 ANDERSON SILVA
#3 VITOR BELFORT
#4 MICHAEL BISPING
#5 YUSHIN OKAMI
#6 MARK MUNOZ
#7 LUKE ROCKHOLD
#8 'JACARE' SOUZA
#9 'COSTA' PHILIPPOU
#10 HECTOR LOMBARD
OTHER CONTENDERS: TIM BOETSCH, TIM KENNEDY, CUNG LE, RICH FRANKLIN, ALAN BELCHER
WELTERWEIGHTS:
#1 GEORGES ST-PIERRE - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JOHNY HENDRICKS
#3 CARLOS CONDIT
#4 NICK DIAZ
#5 RORY MACDONALD +1
#6 MARTIN KAMPMANN -1
#7 JAKE ELLENBERGER
#8 JAKE SHIELDS
#9 DEMIAN MAIA
#10 ROBBIE LAWLER
OTHER CONTENDERS: JOSH KOSCHECK, JOSH BURKMAN, JON FITCH, BJ PENN, ERICK SILVA
LIGHTWEIGHTS:
#1 BEN HENDERSON - UFC CHAMPION
#2 GILBERT MELENDEZ
#3 TJ GRANT
#4 GRAY MAYNARD
#5 MICHAEL CHANDLER - BELLATOR CHAMPION
#6 EDDIE ALVAREZ
#7 SHINYA AOKI - ONE FC CHAMPION
#8 ANTHONY PETTIS
#9 JOSH THOMSON
#10 NATE DIAZ
OTHER CONTENDERS: JIM MILLER, MYLES JURY, REZA MADADI, MICHAEL JOHNSON, JOE LAUZON
PAT HEALY is ineligible serving a suspension
DONALD CERRONE is kicked out of the contenders list for losing to RAFAEL DOS ANJOS
FEATHERWEIGHTS:
#1 JOSE ALDO - UFC CHAMPION
#2 FRANKIE EDGAR
#3 RICARDO LAMAS
#4 CHAD MENDES
#5 PAT CURRAN - BELLATOR CHAMPION
#6 CUB SWANSON
#7 'THE KOREAN ZOMBIE' +1
#8 PATRICIO 'PITBULL' +1
#9 DARREN ELKINS +2
#10 HATSU HIOKI -3
OTHER CONTENDERS: CLAY GUIDA, DUSTIN POIRIER, NIK LENTZ, ERIK KOCH, DENNIS SIVER
DARREN ELKINS enters the top 10 with his win over HATSU HIOKI
BANTAMWEIGHTS:
#1 RENAN BARAO - UFC INTERIM CHAMPION
#2 URIJAH FABER
#3 MICHAEL MCDONALD
#4 EDDIE WINELAND
#5 SCOTT JORGENSEN
#6 BRAD PICKETT
#7 GEORGE ROOP
#8 BIBIANO FERNANDES - ONE FC CHAMPION
#9 MARLON MORAES
#10 MIGUEL TORRES
OTHER CONTENDERS: TYSON NAM, EDUARDO DANTAS, MARCOS GALVAO, RAFAEL ASSUNCAO, TRAVIS MARX
DOMINICK CRUZ is ineligible for inactivity
BRIAN BOWLES is ineligible serving a suspension
FLYWEIGHTS:
#1 'MIGHTY MOUSE' JOHNSON - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JOSEPH BENAVIDEZ
#3 IAN MCCALL
#4 JOHN DODSON
#5 JUSSIER 'FORMIGA'
#6 DARRELL MONTAGUE
#7 JOHN LINEKER
#8 MIKIHITO YAMAGAMI
#9 MAMORU YAMAGUCHI
#10 YOSUKE SARUTA
OTHER CONTENDERS: RYUICHI MIKI, KENTARO WATANABE, SHINICHI KOJIMA, YASUHIRO URUSHITANI, ALE CALI
LOUIS GAUDINOT is ineligible for inactivity
POUND 4 POUND:
#1 JOSE ALDO - P4P KING
#2 GEORGES ST-PIERRE
#3 JON JONES
#4 RENAN BARAO
#5 CHRIS WEIDMAN
#6 ANDERSON SILVA
#7 'MIGHTY MOUSE' JOHNSON
#8 CAIN VELASQUEZ
#9 FRANKIE EDGAR
#10 BEN HENDERSON
OTHER CONTENDERS: GILBERT MELENDEZ, JUNIOR DOS SANTOS, JOHNY HENDRICKS, DANIEL CORMIER, JOSEPH BENAVIDEZ
DOMINICK CRUZ is ineligible for inactivity
Note - ALDO surpassed ST-PIERRE after his UFC 163 victory. I forgot to mention that on the last updated rankings. ST-PIERRE will regain #1 with a win over HENDRICKS at UFC 167.
Thursday, August 29, 2013
Tuesday, August 27, 2013
UFC Fight Night 27: Condit vs. Kampmann 2 Predictions and Betting Lines
I'm yet to decide on my bets so I'll only give you my predictions this time.
My Main Card Predictions:
#3 Condit -260 vs. #5 Kampmann +210
This fight is closer than what the odds make it out to be. Both guys are primarily Thai boxers with good jiu jitsu. I would give a slight edge to Condit on the feet and a slight edge to Kampmann on the ground. This is a 5 rounder and atleast we already know that Condit can go 25 minutes, Kampmann, we'll find out. Another thing to note is that Condit has a good chin and Kampmann has been knocked out in the past which is probably why Condit is a 2 to 1 favorite right now. But the X-factor in this fight is the wrestling. Condit's glaring hole in his game is his wrestling and for not being a wrestler Kampmann's a pretty good wrestler. I'd favor Condit but Kampmann can make the scorecards look interesting with his takedowns.
My Pick: I would take Kampmann at +210 or pass
NR* Cerrone -160 vs. NR* Dos Anjos +130
I like Cerrone in this fight. Dos Anjos is a good mid tier lightweight which is pretty good considering lightweight is stacked from top to bottom but I don't think he's on Cerrone's level yet. Cerrone's beaten guys that Dos Anjos has lost to and Cerrone's only lost to exceptional 155er's. I thought Dos Anjos should have lost his last fight against Dunham and Cerrone is a better version of Dunham so at pick'em odds I'd take Cerrone.
My Pick: I will bet on Cerrone
NR* Gastelum -225 vs. NR* Melancon +180
This fight is similar to the main event in a sense that its closer than what the odds tell you. Under normal circumstances I'd tell you to pick Melancon at underdog money. However, Melancon took this fight on short notice replacing Paulo Thiago and his battling a short notice weight cut following his eating benge he recently had after his last fight. So what started out as an close fight has now turned in the favor of Gastelum. Although we don't know how Gastelum is going perform at 170 I'd pick him but tread cautiously if you do.
My Pick: I'll probably pass or place a small wager on Gastelum
NR* Whitaker -140 vs. NR* McGee +110
This fight is very close. Whitaker has very good and organic combos and its worked well for him in the past against lesser competition. However, McGee is a step up in competition to his escapades in TUF so you can't sleep on McGee.
My Pick: I'm passing
NR* Perez -140 vs. NR* Mizugaki +110
I sound like a broken record but this is another close fight. This fight is similar to the Whitaker/McGee fight. Perez has looked good in the UFC so far and is on a winning streak that extends beyond his UFC career so he's doing something right. Mizugaki is a step up in competition though. Mizugaki has only lost to top tier competition and even though Perez is on a roll I don't know if we can put him in the same category as Bowles, Faber and Torres yet which explains the pick'em odds.
My Pick: I'm picking Perez at a low price
NR* Tavares -455 vs. NR* McDaniel +350
I like Tavares in this fight he is 4-1 in his last 5 and flying under the radar racking up wins. Tavares is durable and already battle tested which is why he's a 4 to 1 favorite. McDaniel was one of the better TUF alums outside of Gastelum and Hall and crazier things have happened but, Tavares is definitely better but I would still tread cautiously on the steep betting line.
My Pick: I'm passing
My quick Under Card Picks:
Andrews -285
Thatch -265
Hioki -130
Head -115
Trujillo -120
Cummings -120
My Previous Results: My UFC Fight Night 26 betting results
After Lauzon lost to Johnson I made a last minute bet on Faber and profited 57.75$. Sorry next time I'll show you how it all went down.
NR - not in ranked in the top 10
My Main Card Predictions:
#3 Condit -260 vs. #5 Kampmann +210
This fight is closer than what the odds make it out to be. Both guys are primarily Thai boxers with good jiu jitsu. I would give a slight edge to Condit on the feet and a slight edge to Kampmann on the ground. This is a 5 rounder and atleast we already know that Condit can go 25 minutes, Kampmann, we'll find out. Another thing to note is that Condit has a good chin and Kampmann has been knocked out in the past which is probably why Condit is a 2 to 1 favorite right now. But the X-factor in this fight is the wrestling. Condit's glaring hole in his game is his wrestling and for not being a wrestler Kampmann's a pretty good wrestler. I'd favor Condit but Kampmann can make the scorecards look interesting with his takedowns.
My Pick: I would take Kampmann at +210 or pass
NR* Cerrone -160 vs. NR* Dos Anjos +130
I like Cerrone in this fight. Dos Anjos is a good mid tier lightweight which is pretty good considering lightweight is stacked from top to bottom but I don't think he's on Cerrone's level yet. Cerrone's beaten guys that Dos Anjos has lost to and Cerrone's only lost to exceptional 155er's. I thought Dos Anjos should have lost his last fight against Dunham and Cerrone is a better version of Dunham so at pick'em odds I'd take Cerrone.
My Pick: I will bet on Cerrone
NR* Gastelum -225 vs. NR* Melancon +180
This fight is similar to the main event in a sense that its closer than what the odds tell you. Under normal circumstances I'd tell you to pick Melancon at underdog money. However, Melancon took this fight on short notice replacing Paulo Thiago and his battling a short notice weight cut following his eating benge he recently had after his last fight. So what started out as an close fight has now turned in the favor of Gastelum. Although we don't know how Gastelum is going perform at 170 I'd pick him but tread cautiously if you do.
My Pick: I'll probably pass or place a small wager on Gastelum
NR* Whitaker -140 vs. NR* McGee +110
This fight is very close. Whitaker has very good and organic combos and its worked well for him in the past against lesser competition. However, McGee is a step up in competition to his escapades in TUF so you can't sleep on McGee.
My Pick: I'm passing
NR* Perez -140 vs. NR* Mizugaki +110
I sound like a broken record but this is another close fight. This fight is similar to the Whitaker/McGee fight. Perez has looked good in the UFC so far and is on a winning streak that extends beyond his UFC career so he's doing something right. Mizugaki is a step up in competition though. Mizugaki has only lost to top tier competition and even though Perez is on a roll I don't know if we can put him in the same category as Bowles, Faber and Torres yet which explains the pick'em odds.
My Pick: I'm picking Perez at a low price
NR* Tavares -455 vs. NR* McDaniel +350
I like Tavares in this fight he is 4-1 in his last 5 and flying under the radar racking up wins. Tavares is durable and already battle tested which is why he's a 4 to 1 favorite. McDaniel was one of the better TUF alums outside of Gastelum and Hall and crazier things have happened but, Tavares is definitely better but I would still tread cautiously on the steep betting line.
My Pick: I'm passing
My quick Under Card Picks:
Andrews -285
Thatch -265
Hioki -130
Head -115
Trujillo -120
Cummings -120
My Previous Results: My UFC Fight Night 26 betting results
After Lauzon lost to Johnson I made a last minute bet on Faber and profited 57.75$. Sorry next time I'll show you how it all went down.
NR - not in ranked in the top 10
Saturday, August 24, 2013
MMA Rankings After UFC Fight Night 26: 'Shogun' vs. Sonnen
NOTE: This is the first rankings with my new implemented rules
HEAVYWEIGHTS:
#1 CAIN VELASQUEZ - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JUNIOR DOS SANTOS
#3 DANIEL CORMIER
#4 'BIGFOOT' SILVA
#5 TRAVIS BROWNE
#6 ALISTAIR OVEREEM
#7 FABRICIO WERDUM
#8 FRANK MIR
#9 'MINOTAURO' NOGUEIRA
#10 JOSH BARNETT
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHTS:
#1 JON JONES - UFC CHAMPION
#2 LYOTO MACHIDA
#3 RASHAD EVANS
#4 DAN HENDERSON
#5 ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON
#6 CHAEL SONNEN
#7 'SHOGUN' RUA
#8 'MINOTORO' NOGUEIRA
#9 PHIL DAVIS
#10 GLOVER TEIXEIRA
MIDDLEWEIGHTS:
#1 CHRIS WEIDMAN - UFC CHAMPION
#2 ANDERSON SILVA
#3 VITOR BELFORT
#4 MICHAEL BISPING
#5 YUSHIN OKAMI
#6 MARK MUNOZ
#7 LUKE ROCKHOLD
#8 'JACARE' SOUZA
#9 'COSTA' PHILIPPOU
#10 HECTOR LOMBARD
WELTERWEIGHTS:
#1 GEORGES ST-PIERRE - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JOHNY HENDRICKS
#3 CARLOS CONDIT
#4 NICK DIAZ
#5 MARTIN KAMPMANN
#6 RORY MACDONALD
#7 JAKE ELLENBERGER
#8 JAKE SHIELDS
#9 DEMIAN MAIA
#10 ROBBIE LAWLER
LIGHTWEIGHTS:
#1 BEN HENDERSON - UFC CHAMPION
#2 GILBERT MELENDEZ
#3 TJ GRANT
#4 GRAY MAYNARD
#5 MICHAEL CHANDLER - BELLATOR CHAMPION
#6 EDDIE ALVAREZ
#7 SHINYA AOKI - ONE FC CHAMPION
#8 ANTHONY PETTIS
#9 JOSH THOMSON
#10 NATE DIAZ
FEATHERWEIGHTS:
#1 JOSE ALDO - UFC CHAMPION
#2 FRANKIE EDGAR
#3 RICARDO LAMAS
#4 CHAD MENDES
#5 PAT CURRAN - BELLATOR CHAMPION
#6 CUB SWANSON
#7 HATSU HIOKI
#8 CHAN SUNG JUNG
#9 PATRICIO 'PITBULL'
#10 CLAY GUIDA
BANTAMWEIGHTS:
#1 RENAN BARAO - UFC INTERIM CHAMPION
#2 URIJAH FABER
#3 MICHAEL MCDONALD
#4 EDDIE WINELAND
#5 SCOTT JORGENSEN
#6 BRAD PICKETT
#7 GEORGE ROOP
#8 BIBIANO FERNANDES - ONE FC CHAMPION
#9 MARLON MORAES
#10 MIGUEL TORRES
FLYWEIGHTS:
#1 'MIGHTY MOUSE' JOHNSON - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JOSEPH BENAVIDEZ
#3 IAN MCCALL
#4 JOHN DODSON
#5 JUSSIER 'FORMIGA'
#6 DARRELL MONTAGUE
#7 JOHN LINEKER
#8 MIKIHITO YAMAGAMI
#9 MAMORU YAMAGUCHI
#10 YOSUKE SARUTA
POUND 4 POUND:
#1 JOSE ALDO - P4P KING
#2 GEORGES ST-PIERRE
#3 JON JONES
#4 RENAN BARAO
#5 CHRIS WEIDMAN
#6 ANDERSON SILVA
#7 'MIGHTY MOUSE' JOHNSON
#8 CAIN VELASQUEZ
#9 FRANKIE EDGAR
#10 BEN HENDERSON
HEAVYWEIGHTS:
#1 CAIN VELASQUEZ - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JUNIOR DOS SANTOS
#3 DANIEL CORMIER
#4 'BIGFOOT' SILVA
#5 TRAVIS BROWNE
#6 ALISTAIR OVEREEM
#7 FABRICIO WERDUM
#8 FRANK MIR
#9 'MINOTAURO' NOGUEIRA
#10 JOSH BARNETT
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHTS:
#1 JON JONES - UFC CHAMPION
#2 LYOTO MACHIDA
#3 RASHAD EVANS
#4 DAN HENDERSON
#5 ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON
#6 CHAEL SONNEN
#7 'SHOGUN' RUA
#8 'MINOTORO' NOGUEIRA
#9 PHIL DAVIS
#10 GLOVER TEIXEIRA
MIDDLEWEIGHTS:
#1 CHRIS WEIDMAN - UFC CHAMPION
#2 ANDERSON SILVA
#3 VITOR BELFORT
#4 MICHAEL BISPING
#5 YUSHIN OKAMI
#6 MARK MUNOZ
#7 LUKE ROCKHOLD
#8 'JACARE' SOUZA
#9 'COSTA' PHILIPPOU
#10 HECTOR LOMBARD
WELTERWEIGHTS:
#1 GEORGES ST-PIERRE - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JOHNY HENDRICKS
#3 CARLOS CONDIT
#4 NICK DIAZ
#5 MARTIN KAMPMANN
#6 RORY MACDONALD
#7 JAKE ELLENBERGER
#8 JAKE SHIELDS
#9 DEMIAN MAIA
#10 ROBBIE LAWLER
LIGHTWEIGHTS:
#1 BEN HENDERSON - UFC CHAMPION
#2 GILBERT MELENDEZ
#3 TJ GRANT
#4 GRAY MAYNARD
#5 MICHAEL CHANDLER - BELLATOR CHAMPION
#6 EDDIE ALVAREZ
#7 SHINYA AOKI - ONE FC CHAMPION
#8 ANTHONY PETTIS
#9 JOSH THOMSON
#10 NATE DIAZ
FEATHERWEIGHTS:
#1 JOSE ALDO - UFC CHAMPION
#2 FRANKIE EDGAR
#3 RICARDO LAMAS
#4 CHAD MENDES
#5 PAT CURRAN - BELLATOR CHAMPION
#6 CUB SWANSON
#7 HATSU HIOKI
#8 CHAN SUNG JUNG
#9 PATRICIO 'PITBULL'
#10 CLAY GUIDA
BANTAMWEIGHTS:
#1 RENAN BARAO - UFC INTERIM CHAMPION
#2 URIJAH FABER
#3 MICHAEL MCDONALD
#4 EDDIE WINELAND
#5 SCOTT JORGENSEN
#6 BRAD PICKETT
#7 GEORGE ROOP
#8 BIBIANO FERNANDES - ONE FC CHAMPION
#9 MARLON MORAES
#10 MIGUEL TORRES
FLYWEIGHTS:
#1 'MIGHTY MOUSE' JOHNSON - UFC CHAMPION
#2 JOSEPH BENAVIDEZ
#3 IAN MCCALL
#4 JOHN DODSON
#5 JUSSIER 'FORMIGA'
#6 DARRELL MONTAGUE
#7 JOHN LINEKER
#8 MIKIHITO YAMAGAMI
#9 MAMORU YAMAGUCHI
#10 YOSUKE SARUTA
POUND 4 POUND:
#1 JOSE ALDO - P4P KING
#2 GEORGES ST-PIERRE
#3 JON JONES
#4 RENAN BARAO
#5 CHRIS WEIDMAN
#6 ANDERSON SILVA
#7 'MIGHTY MOUSE' JOHNSON
#8 CAIN VELASQUEZ
#9 FRANKIE EDGAR
#10 BEN HENDERSON
Thursday, August 22, 2013
Rankings 2013 Update #2
Sorry for the wait. I still have to implement the new rules into all 8 weight classes. Afterwards I will also bring back the 'Live Rankings' tab and 'Upcoming Fights' tab.
Saturday, August 17, 2013
Rankings 2013 Update #1
Previously I didn't take into consideration "draws" or "No-Contest" in my rankings but now I will start to do so. I will post this in my header right above the 'HOME' tab as well for you all to see. As you can see I do leave +# and -# for anyone who has risen up or fallen down in my rankings but with this new rule in place it will alter the rankings a lot. So I won't be using any pluses and minuses in the next published rankings.
* As an example, I will show you how my current flyweight rankings look and how they will look with this new implemented rule and you will soon understand:
Prior to including draws & no contests:
1. Demetrious Johnson
2. Joseph Benavidez
3. Ian McCall
4. John Dodson
5. Jussier Da Silva
6. John Lineker
7. Yasuhiro Urushitani
8. Yosuke Saruta
9. Kentaro Watanabe
10. Shinichi Kojima
Contenders list: Ryuichi Miki, Haruo Ochi, John Moraga, Darrell Montague, Mikihito Yamagami
Louis Gaudinot still in eligible for his long layoff
After implementing the draws & no contests:
1. Demetrious Johnson
2. Joseph Benavidez
3. Ian McCall
4. John Dodson
5. Jussier Da Silva
6. Darrell Montague
7. John Lineker
8. Mikihito Yamagami
9. Mamoru Yamaguchi
10. Yosuke Saruta
Contenders list: Ryuichi Miki, Kentaro Watanabe, Shinichi Kojima, Yasuhiro Urushitani, Ale Cali
Louis Gaudinot still in eligible for his long layoff
* As an example, I will show you how my current flyweight rankings look and how they will look with this new implemented rule and you will soon understand:
Prior to including draws & no contests:
1. Demetrious Johnson
2. Joseph Benavidez
3. Ian McCall
4. John Dodson
5. Jussier Da Silva
6. John Lineker
7. Yasuhiro Urushitani
8. Yosuke Saruta
9. Kentaro Watanabe
10. Shinichi Kojima
Contenders list: Ryuichi Miki, Haruo Ochi, John Moraga, Darrell Montague, Mikihito Yamagami
Louis Gaudinot still in eligible for his long layoff
After implementing the draws & no contests:
1. Demetrious Johnson
2. Joseph Benavidez
3. Ian McCall
4. John Dodson
5. Jussier Da Silva
6. Darrell Montague
7. John Lineker
8. Mikihito Yamagami
9. Mamoru Yamaguchi
10. Yosuke Saruta
Contenders list: Ryuichi Miki, Kentaro Watanabe, Shinichi Kojima, Yasuhiro Urushitani, Ale Cali
Louis Gaudinot still in eligible for his long layoff
Wednesday, August 14, 2013
UFC Fight Night 26: 'Shogun' vs Sonnen Predictions and Betting Lines
My Main Card Predictions and Bets:
#7 'Shogun' +120 vs. NR* Sonnen -150
I'm picking Shogun because he's got the edge standing up and on the ground. Shogun is also a black belt in jiu jitsu with a tricky guard even better than Anderson Silva's guard with his ability to dive for leg locks. Even if he doesn't get the leg lock he uses it to get back up to his feet which is exactly where he wants to be. Although Sonnen can take 'Shogun' down repeatedly I just don't see him fending him off for 25 minutes. I see 'Shogun' winning inside the distance by TKO or knockout especially in a five rounder.
My bet: 33.33$ to win 40$ on Shogun
#5 Overeem -185 vs. NR* Browne +155
I'm picking Overeem because despite getting knocked out in his last fight he is still the superior striker. Browne prefers to stand as well but he's been knocked out before too so his chin has been tested and Overeem will look to test it again. Although Overeem has a suspect chin and Browne could tag it and put him out, I see Overeem's experience being the difference in their fight. I've got Overeem winning eventually by TKO or knockout.
My bet: 74$ to win 40$ on Overeem & check my parlays
#2 Faber -290 vs. NR* Alcantara +230
I'm picking Faber because of his experience and because he is the wrestler so he can dictate where he wants the fight to go. Alcantara likes to go for broke with both his striking and his submissions but I feel Faber will have and answer for anything Alcantara gives him. Since Alcantara is always in the fight I'm picking Faber by decision.
My bet: 116$ to win 40$ on Faber & check my parlays
NR* Pyle +130 vs. NR* Brown -160
As you can see by the line this fight is very close. I myself don't know who to pick. On one hand I'd pick Brown by TKO because of his pressure on the other hand I'd pick Pyle because of his submissions and Brown's poor track record with submission defense. It's hard to see either guy lose right now because of their winning streaks. Both guys have a path to victory. The one who wants it more will most likely win.
My bet: pass
NR* Hall -435 vs. NR* Howard +335
I'm picking Hall because he's more unpredictable with his striking and I feel he's going to come back stronger after a loss. At the very worst I feel he wins all three rounds by decision or ends it with strikes eventually. I will be passing because the line is too high and Howard is no pushover in the striking department himself. With these small gloves and the way Howard fights and the steep line, I would tread cautiously on Hall.
My bet: pass
NR* Lauzon -245 vs. NR* Johnson +195
I'm picking Lauzon because I feel he's not going to let Johnson breath, he's going to constantly be looking for a submission and it will overwhelm Johnson. Even if Lauzon doesn't get the submission I feel he will win the decision atleast because of the constant pressure he's going to put on him.
My bet: check my parlays
My under card bets only:
40.30$ to win 30$ on Gamburyan
40.25$ to win 18.30$ on (Mike) Brown
99$ to win 30$ on Brandao
40$ to win 20$ on McDonald
96$ to win 40$ on McGregor
My Parlays:
18$ to win 50.44$ on Faber, Overeem, McGregor & Lauzon
48$ to win 45.10$ on McGregor & Lauzon
Previous Results: My UFC 163 betting results
Won 2.91$ on Yahya
Won 18.92$ on McCall
Lost 69.66$ on Magalhaes
Won 18.51$ on Lineker
Won 12$ on Lineker vs. Tome to go under 2 1/2 rounds
Lost 70.26$ on Machida
Won 22$ on Machida vs. Davis to go over 2 1/2 rounds
Won 15.69$ on Aldo
Overall I lost 49.89$
P.S. - I would have profited 20.37$ if Machida didn't get robbed.
NR - Not ranked in the top 10
#7 'Shogun' +120 vs. NR* Sonnen -150
I'm picking Shogun because he's got the edge standing up and on the ground. Shogun is also a black belt in jiu jitsu with a tricky guard even better than Anderson Silva's guard with his ability to dive for leg locks. Even if he doesn't get the leg lock he uses it to get back up to his feet which is exactly where he wants to be. Although Sonnen can take 'Shogun' down repeatedly I just don't see him fending him off for 25 minutes. I see 'Shogun' winning inside the distance by TKO or knockout especially in a five rounder.
My bet: 33.33$ to win 40$ on Shogun
#5 Overeem -185 vs. NR* Browne +155
I'm picking Overeem because despite getting knocked out in his last fight he is still the superior striker. Browne prefers to stand as well but he's been knocked out before too so his chin has been tested and Overeem will look to test it again. Although Overeem has a suspect chin and Browne could tag it and put him out, I see Overeem's experience being the difference in their fight. I've got Overeem winning eventually by TKO or knockout.
My bet: 74$ to win 40$ on Overeem & check my parlays
#2 Faber -290 vs. NR* Alcantara +230
I'm picking Faber because of his experience and because he is the wrestler so he can dictate where he wants the fight to go. Alcantara likes to go for broke with both his striking and his submissions but I feel Faber will have and answer for anything Alcantara gives him. Since Alcantara is always in the fight I'm picking Faber by decision.
My bet: 116$ to win 40$ on Faber & check my parlays
NR* Pyle +130 vs. NR* Brown -160
As you can see by the line this fight is very close. I myself don't know who to pick. On one hand I'd pick Brown by TKO because of his pressure on the other hand I'd pick Pyle because of his submissions and Brown's poor track record with submission defense. It's hard to see either guy lose right now because of their winning streaks. Both guys have a path to victory. The one who wants it more will most likely win.
My bet: pass
NR* Hall -435 vs. NR* Howard +335
I'm picking Hall because he's more unpredictable with his striking and I feel he's going to come back stronger after a loss. At the very worst I feel he wins all three rounds by decision or ends it with strikes eventually. I will be passing because the line is too high and Howard is no pushover in the striking department himself. With these small gloves and the way Howard fights and the steep line, I would tread cautiously on Hall.
My bet: pass
NR* Lauzon -245 vs. NR* Johnson +195
I'm picking Lauzon because I feel he's not going to let Johnson breath, he's going to constantly be looking for a submission and it will overwhelm Johnson. Even if Lauzon doesn't get the submission I feel he will win the decision atleast because of the constant pressure he's going to put on him.
My bet: check my parlays
My under card bets only:
40.30$ to win 30$ on Gamburyan
40.25$ to win 18.30$ on (Mike) Brown
99$ to win 30$ on Brandao
40$ to win 20$ on McDonald
96$ to win 40$ on McGregor
My Parlays:
18$ to win 50.44$ on Faber, Overeem, McGregor & Lauzon
48$ to win 45.10$ on McGregor & Lauzon
Previous Results: My UFC 163 betting results
Won 2.91$ on Yahya
Won 18.92$ on McCall
Lost 69.66$ on Magalhaes
Won 18.51$ on Lineker
Won 12$ on Lineker vs. Tome to go under 2 1/2 rounds
Lost 70.26$ on Machida
Won 22$ on Machida vs. Davis to go over 2 1/2 rounds
Won 15.69$ on Aldo
Overall I lost 49.89$
P.S. - I would have profited 20.37$ if Machida didn't get robbed.
NR - Not ranked in the top 10
Tuesday, August 13, 2013
Middleweight Lineal Champions 2001-present
2001-2002 Dave Menne
On September 28, 2001 Menne beats Gil Castillo to become the first ever UFC Middleweight Champion
2002-2003 Murilo Bustamante
On January 11, 2001 at UFC 35 Bustamante would beat Menne and then take the lineage over to Pride FC
2003-2006 Dan Henderson
On November 9, 2003 Henderson knocks out Bustamante to win the lineage
2006 Kazuo Misaki
On August 26, 2006 Misaki would upset Henderson giving him his first middleweight loss
2006-2008 Paulo Filho
On November 5, 2006 Filho submits Misaki to gain the middleweight lineage
2008-2009 Chael Sonnen
On November 5, 2008 The American Gangster reigns supreme over then unbeaten Filho
2009 Demian Maia
On February 21, 2009 Sonnen returns to the UFC unsuccessfully, getting submitted by Maia
2009-2010 Nate Marquardt
On August 29, 2009 Marquardt knocks out Maia in under 30 seconds to claim the middleweight lineage
2010 Chael Sonnen
On February 6, 2010 The American Gangster is officially born by upsetting Marquardt
2010-2013 Anderson Silva
On August 7, 2010 The middleweight g.o.a.t. submits Sonnen out of nowhere to gain the lineage
2013-present Chris Weidman
On July 6, 2013 Weidman shuts up his critics by knocking out the spider
Tuesday, August 6, 2013
UFC Fight Night 26: 'Shogun' vs. Sonnen Stats
'Shogun' by TKO/KO 81% chance
Sonnen by TKO/KO 19% chance
'Shogun' by Submission 80% chance
Sonnen by Submission 20% chance
Fight gets stopped 45% chance
Fight goes to decision 55% chance
'Shogun' wins 43% chance
Sonnen wins 57% chance
Sonnen by TKO/KO 19% chance
'Shogun' by Submission 80% chance
Sonnen by Submission 20% chance
Fight gets stopped 45% chance
Fight goes to decision 55% chance
'Shogun' wins 43% chance
Sonnen wins 57% chance
Monday, August 5, 2013
Robberies 2013 Update #1
These fights listed below are 2013 robberies I take into account when making the 'After UFC Rankings':
Machida beat Davis 2013 NEW
Pague beat Jabouin 2013
Machida beat Davis 2013 NEW
Pague beat Jabouin 2013
Dunham beat Dos Anjos 2013
Larkin beat Carmont 2013
Gomi beat Sanchez 2013
Gomi beat Sanchez 2013
Hioki beat Guida 2013
Gomez beat Harris 2013
Sunday, August 4, 2013
MMA Rankings After UFC 163 Aldo vs. 'Korean Zombie'
 |
| (Pictured UFC HW Champion #1 Velasquez) |
1. Cain Velasquez - UFC Champion
2. Junior Dos Santos
3. Daniel Cormier
4. Antonio Silva
5. Alistair Overeem
6. Fabricio Werdum
7. Frank Mir
8. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
9. Josh Barnett
10. Andrei Arlovski
Other Contenders: Mark Hunt, Travis Browne, Stipe Miocic, Roy Nelson, Gabriel Gonzaga
Sergei Kharitonov is ineligible for inactivity. He'll be re eligible once he returns from layoff.
 |
| (Pictured #2 Machida) |
1. Jon Jones - UFC Champion
2. Lyoto Machida
3. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
4. Rashad Evans
5. Alexander Gustafsson
6. Dan Henderson
7. Mauricio Rua
8. Phil Davis
9. Glover Teixeira
10. Ryan Bader
Other Contenders: Quinton Jackson, Thiago Silva, Wanderlei Silva, Rafael Cavalcante, Gegard Mousasi
Machida stays #2 because I felt the judges robbed him.
 |
| (Pictured UFC MW Champion #1 Weidman) |
1. Chris Weidman - UFC Champion
2. Anderson Silva
3. Vitor Belfort
4. Michael Bisping
5. Yushin Okami
6. Mark Munoz
7. Constantinos Philippou
8. Hector Lombard
9. Tim Boetsch
10. Luke Rockhold
Other Contenders: Ronaldo Souza, Tim Kennedy, Cung Le, Rich Franklin, Ronny Markes
 |
| (Pictured UFC WW Champion #1 St. Pierre) |
1. Georges St. Pierre - UFC Champion
2. Johny Hendricks
3. Carlos Condit
4. Nick Diaz
5. Martin Kampmann
6. Rory Macdonald
7. Jake Ellenberger
8. Jake Shields
9. Demian Maia
10. Robbie Lawler
Other Contenders: Josh Koscheck, Josh Burkman, Jon Fitch, BJ Penn, Erick Silva
Lightweight
 |
| (Pictured UFC LW Champion #1 Henderson) |
1. Ben Henderson - UFC Champion
2. Gilbert Melendez
3. TJ Grant
4. Gray Maynard
5. Michael Chandler - Bellator Champion
6. Eddie Alvarez
7. Shinya Aoki - One FC Champion
8. Anthony Pettis
9. Josh Thomson
10. Nate Diaz
Other Contenders: Donald Cerrone, Jim Miller, Joe Lauzon, Jamie Varner, Melvin Guillard
Pat Healy is ineligible for his suspension. He'll be re eligible once he fights once after his suspension.
 |
| (Pictured UFC FW Champion #1 Aldo) |
1. Jose Aldo - UFC Champion
2. Frankie Edgar
3. Ricardo Lamas
4. Chad Mendes
5. Pat Curran - Bellator Champion
6. Cub Swanson
7. Hatsu Hioki
8. Clay Guida
9. Chan Sung Jung +2
10. Dustin Poirier -1
Other Contenders: Nik Lentz, Erik Koch, Dennis Siver, Diego Nunes, Patricio Freire
Chan Sung Jung returns from his layoff.
 |
| (Pictured UFC Interim BW Champion #1 Barao) |
1. Renan Barao - Interim Champion
2. Urijah Faber
3. Eddie Wineland
4. Michael McDonald
5. Bibiano Fernandes - One FC & Dream Champion
6. Scott Jorgensen
7. Brad Pickett
8. George Roop
9. Marlon Moraes
10. Miguel Torres
Other Contenders: Tyson Nam, Eduardo Dantas, Marcos Galvao, Travis Marx, Raphael Assuncao
UFC Champion Dominick Cruz is ineligible for inactivity. He'll be re eligible once he returns from layoff.
Brian Bowles is ineligible for his suspension. He'll be re eligible once he fights once after his suspension.
 |
| (Pictured #6 Lineker) |
1. Demetrious Johnson - UFC Champion
2. Joseph Benavidez
3. Ian McCall
4. John Dodson
5. Jussier Da Silva
6. John Lineker
7. Yasuhiro Urushitani
8. Yosuke Saruta
9. Kentaro Watanabe
10. Shinichi Kojima
Other Contenders: Ryuichi Miki, Haruo Ochi, John Moraga, Darrell Montague, Mikihito Yamagami
Louis Gaudinot is ineligible for inactivity. He'll be re eligible once he returns from layoff.
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Pound 4 Pound2. George St. Pierre -1
3. Jon Jones
4. Renan Barao
5. Chris Weidman
6. Anderson Silva
7. Demetrious Johnson
8. Cain Velasquez
9. Ben Henderson
10. Frankie Edgar
Other Contenders: Gilbert Melendez, Junior Dos Santos, Johny Hendricks, Daniel Cormier, Joseph Benavidez
UFC Champion Dominick Cruz is ineligible for inactivity. He'll be re eligible once he returns from layoff.
Friday, August 2, 2013
UFC 163 Aldo vs. 'Korean Zombie' Predictions and Betting Lines
My Main Card Predictions and Bets:
NR - Not ranked in the top 10
IE - in eligible to be ranked
#1 Aldo -700 vs. IE* Sung Jung +500
I am picking Aldo because I only see one path to victory for 'the Korean Zombie' and that's to make it to the championship rounds and hope that Aldo is tired out and to hunt for the late TKO/KO or submission win and that's a big if. At the very worst I see Aldo winning by decision destroying Jung with leg kicks in the process. Best case scenario Aldo wins by TKO or knockout.
My bet: 111.66$ to win 15.69$ on Jose Aldo
#2 Machida -355 vs. #8 Davis +280
I am picking Machida because of his unique karate base striking, quick footwork and good takedown defense. Davis's only path to victory is take Machida down and attempt ground and pound or look for a submission which he has the skill set to do but I see Machida stuffing his takedown attempts and making this a striking match winning by decision.
My bet: 77.26$ to win 19.48$ on Machida & 44$ to win 22$ on the fight to go over 2 1/2 rounds
NR* Ferreira -450 vs. NR* Santos +340
I am picking Ferreira for the purpose of giving you my prediction. I won't be placing any bets on this fight because I am not entirely familiar with his opponent Santos who is a newcomer to the promotion. Both guys are fairly green with less than 10 fights each. Judging by Santos's record at 8-1 he is a striker with most of his wins coming by TKO. Ferreira being a BJJ black belt and capoeira master he should be safe standing and on the ground cruising to a decision at worst.
My bet: pass
NR* Leites -130 vs. NR* Watson +100
I have gone back and forth with this fight and do not know who to pick and apparently neither do the odds makers with close to even odds on Leites and dead even on Watson. On the feet I favor Watson with most of his stoppage wins coming by TKO or knockout. Leites is not a bad striker himself but he favors the ground game being a black belt in BJJ and often winning by submission. Who ever can impose their gameplan should win this fight it's anybodies guess.
My bet: pass
#6 Lineker -445 vs. NR* Maria Tome +345
I am picking Lineker because of his knockout power which is very rare in the flyweight division. Maria Tome's record looks impressive but its very deceiving. Although Tome is on a tremendous winning streak, he hasn't been tested with most of his opponents having more losses than wins on their record. I give Tome a grapplers chance being he is a submission guy but asking him to face and defeat a top 10 flyweight is a tall task I won't bank on.
My bet: 81.06$ to win 18.51$ on Lineker & 17.40$ to win 12$ on the fight to go under 2 1/2 rounds
My under card bets only:
75.66$ to win 18.92$ on McCall
69.66$ to win 18.59$ on Magalhaes
27.66$ to win 2.91$ on Yahya
27.66$ to win 2.91$ on Yahya
I am passing on:
Nunes vs. Gaff, Moraes vs. Magny, Andrade vs. Marunde & Oliveira vs. Barroso
Previous Results: My UFC on Fox 8 betting results
Lost 24.50$ on Albert
Won 10$ on Cruickshank
Won 10$ on Cruickshank vs. Edwards to go over 2 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on Castillo
Won 10$ on Castillo vs. Means to go over 2 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on Masvidal
Won 10$ on Masvidal vs. Chiesa to go over 1 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on Lawler
Lost 17.50$ on Lawler vs. Voelker to go over 1 1/2 rounds
Won 10$ on MacDonald
Won 10$ on Johnson
Won 10$ on Johnson vs. Moraga to go over 4 1/2 rounds
Profited 58$
NR - Not ranked in the top 10
IE - in eligible to be ranked
UFC 163 Aldo vs. 'Korean Zombie' Stats
Aldo by TKO/KO 92% chance
Jung by TKO/KO 8% chance
Aldo by Submission 86% chance
Jung by Submission 14% chance
Fight gets stopped 75% chance
Fight goes to decision 25% chance
Aldo wins 89% chance
Jung wins 11% chance
Jung by TKO/KO 8% chance
Aldo by Submission 86% chance
Jung by Submission 14% chance
Fight gets stopped 75% chance
Fight goes to decision 25% chance
Aldo wins 89% chance
Jung wins 11% chance
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